Actions by Tehran in support of Damascus and Baghdad give the impression that the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, (ISIS rebranded as The Islamic State (IS), is acting alone. In fact, The IS implicitly acts in concert with Damascus and Tehran, which creates a narrative for Assad and Maliki to argue they are fighting terrorists; but Damascus and Baghdad are also suppressing dissent from their respective populations.
The following talking points are the basis of two media appearances by Raymond Tanter on 18 June 2013: BBC World Service Newsday, Radio, 2205 EDT and World Service TV, 2215 EDT
Thanks to Michael Eisenstadt for insights on which some of these bullets are based.
First, stop the loose talk about meeting with Iran to discuss the situation in Iraq.
Turning to Tehran to help stabilize Iraq would be like asking an arsonist to help put out the fire.
So the road to stabilizing Baghdad does not run through Tehran.
The road to Baghdad runs through a coalition of moderates in the region and in Iraq.
Second, the road to Baghdad passes through Damascus via moderate Arab rebels.
The White House has debated whether to train and equip the moderate opposition in Syria long enough. Now is the time to do so. The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has an important presence is in eastern Syria. It is critical to threaten it there: The regime in Damascus seems to have a quiet understanding to refrain from attacking ISIS so long as it is fighting moderate rebel forces.
As Washington reaches out to moderate Syrian rebels with arms, the United States also needs to send a signal to Tehran that Washington is paying attention to Iranian dissidents. In this respect, the road to Tehran may go through an alignment of moderate Arab rebels and Iranian dissidents.
Third, make U.S. arms and airstrikes conditional on an inclusive political coalition.
Build an alliance with Kurds and Sunnis opposed to ISIS. The goal would be to recreate the coalition of moderates that defeated al Qaeda in Iraq in 2007. Because Prime Minister Maliki is unlikely to concur, quietly work with other politicians to create a majority able to select a new prime minister that reaches to minorities.
Condition expedited delivery of U.S. arms on whether there is a cross-sectarian strategy of inclusion of Sunnis and Kurds.
Continue refraining from launching American airstrikes until a political coalition of moderates is in place in Baghdad, preferably without Maliki.
CCTV’s Susan Roberts interviews Raymond Tanter, political, science professor at Georgetown University, to analyze the the current situation in Iraq.
Tanter CCTV Falluja Mosul Tikrit b/c No Concession 2 Sunnis; ISIS, Iran Take Advantage Of Iraq.
President Obama’s visit to the ROK follows reports that Pyongyang detained an American tourist. According to DPRK state media, the 24 year-old man was detained for”rash behavior” as he was trying to enter the country. CCTV’s Elaine Reyes discusses this issue with Raymond Tanter, former member of the White House National Security Council during Reagan-Bush Administration.
By Eric Shawn, Liliana Faccioli Pintozzi
Published April 09, 2014
The man Iran intends to send to America as its new United Nations ambassador is accused of helping organize the political assassination of an Iranian dissident in Italy, but has never been charged by authorities.
Hamid Aboutalebi is at the center of a controversy over whether the Obama administration and the State Department will grant him a visa to come to the U.S.
He has been accused of being an accomplice in a brazen murder plot that killed a prominent Iranian government defector, Mohamed Hossein Naghdi, 42, who was shot dead in Rome as he was being driven to work on March 16, 1993.
“I think that Aboutalebi was involved in the death of my partner,” Naghdi’s companion of 17 years, Ferminia Moroni said. “All roads lead to the Iranian embassy in Rome and the ambassador.”
At the time of Naghdi’s murder, Aboutalebi had completed his stint as Iran’s ambassador to Italy.
“Hamid Aboutalebi definitely was not only involved in the political assassination of Naghdi, but he was actually the mastermind,” charges Alireza Jafarzadeh, the Washington, D.C. based Deputy Director of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, also referred to as the MEK, the group for which Naghdi worked…
Raymond Tanter on Korean Peninsula Relations: North Korea launches short-range missiles to signal displeasure with South Korea’s annual joint military exercises with the United States, rather than sending a diplomatic démarche.
Anchor Mike Walter and Raymond Tanter, visiting professor at Georgetown University, discuss the significance of high-level talks between the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and the Republic of Korea.